Mets vs. Cardinals odds, line, prediction: 2022 MLB picks, Wednesday, April 27 best bets from proven model

The New York Mets aim for a road series sweep on Wednesday afternoon. The Mets visit Busch Stadium to face the St. Louis Cardinals on getaway day. New York claimed the first two games of the three-game set, improving to 14-5. St. Louis is 9-7 overall and 3-3 at home. 

First pitch is at 1:15 p.m. ET in St. Louis. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Mets as -120 favorites on the money line, while the Over-Under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 7 in the latest Mets vs. Cardinals odds. Before you make any Mets vs. Cardinals picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a sizzling start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 25-11 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through three weeks, returning almost $1,100 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mets vs. Cardinals, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Mets vs. Cardinals:

  • Mets vs. Cardinals money line: Mets -120, Cardinals +100 
  • Mets vs. Cardinals over-under: 7 runs 
  • Mets vs. Cardinals run line: Mets -1.5 
  • NYM: The Mets are 9-3 on the road 
  • STL: The Cardinals are 3-3 at home

Featured Game | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets

Why you should back the Mets

New York’s offense is lighting it up to begin the 2022 season. Francisco Lindor is a potential MVP candidate, putting together a top-five season among NL position players to this point, and he has four home runs, 12 runs scored, 12 runs batted in, and three stolen bases. Lindor also boasts a .493 slugging percentage, a .365 on-base percentage, and strong defense. As a team, the Mets lead the National League in strikeout avoidance, going down on strikes on only 19.1 percent of plate appearances. New York is also in the top five of the NL in batting average (.255), on-base percentage (.342) and home runs (17). The Mets have scored 89 runs, a top-three mark in the NL, and New York is a threat on the base paths with 12 stolen bases. 

On the run prevention side, New York has the starting pitching advantage on paper behind Carlos Carrasco, and the Mets bullpen owns a 3.29 ERA with nearly 11 strikeouts per nine innings. St. Louis ranks below the NL average in doubles, batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage in 2022.

Why you should back the Cardinals

The Cardinals have the best hitter in the National League to begin the 2022 season in Nolan Arenado. Arenado has five home runs and 14 RBI, zooming to a .672 slugging percentage to go along with a .420 on-base percentage. As a team, the Cardinals have impressive speed, leading the NL with 15 stolen bases. St. Louis is also solidly above-average in both strikeout rate (21.5 percent) and walk rate (9.2 percent), with strong defense. 

On the mound, left-hander Steven Matz gets the ball for St. Louis, and he is coming off a 2021 season in which he posted a 3.82 ERA with only 2.6 walks per nine innings. Matz has more than five strikeouts per walk to begin the 2022 season, and the Cardinals boast a strong bullpen behind him. St. Louis has a 2.52 ERA with its relief corps this season, and the Cardinals also have the benefit of home-field advantage with an afternoon start.

How to make Mets vs. Cardinals picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the run total, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Mets vs. Cardinals? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Mets vs. Cardinals you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.  

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